Our Results & Methodology | Extra Place

Our results & methodology

What we've actually done, how we calculate, and what we still owe you

Real tracked results

Line chart of real no-lay extra-place betting: cumulative return reaching £15,657 against £8,457 expected value over 3,500 bets, with an early drawdown below zero.
Rob's real no-lay extra-place tracking: £15,657 returned vs £8,457 expected value over 3,500 bets, including a roughly £2,000 early drawdown. No-lay is a higher-variance strategy - see the full context on our About page.

This is real data from one of the strategies Rob runs - no-lay extra-place betting, tracked over 3,500 bets. It is deliberately a higher-variance approach, not the hedged low-risk matched betting we teach beginners, and we show it warts-and-all (including the early drawdown) rather than a clean upward line.

What we still owe you: a ledger of hedged matched-betting results (date, offer, stake, qualifying loss, profit, time). We are capturing these properly before publishing them - we would rather show real records than invent them.

Illustrative worked examples

Throughout our guides you will see worked examples - for instance, turning a £10 qualifying bet and a £30 free bet into roughly £24 of locked-in value. These are illustrative models of how an offer works, not records of specific bets we placed. They use realistic odds and stakes so you can follow the maths, but your own results will vary with the offers available, the odds at the time, and whether the bet is executed correctly. See the beginner guide and our calculators guide for the full workings.

How we calculate and how we make money

  • Profit figures are modelled before mistakes and any tool subscription, and we say so. Realistic sign-up-offer totals land around £500-£700 across the major UK bookmakers, not the inflated figures often quoted.
  • How we test and review is set out in our methodology.
  • How we make money: we may earn a commission when you sign up to tools we recommend (such as OddsMonkey) through our links, at no extra cost to you. It never changes our rankings - see our affiliate disclosure and editorial policy.
  • Spotted something out of date or wrong? Tell us and we will fix it.

See how the method works

Start with the free 7-day course and follow the maths for yourself.